Speculation & Analysis

Breaking Down the Physics, Strategy, and Controversies of Cross-Country Speed

Where The Time Goes

Anatomy of a Record

Pre-COVID Record: Time Breakdown
27:25 — Toman / Tabbutt / Chadwick · Mercedes-AMG E63 · November 2019
Drive Time
25:43
93.8% of total · ~109 mph average
Stopped Time
~0:32
5 stops · ~6 min average
Traffic Delays
~1:10
Normal conditions · real-world traffic

Challenging the current record comes down to one thing: increased sustained velocity. Extra fuel range doesn't exist to reduce stops — it exists to let you run harder between them.

The Physics

Speed vs. Fuel

Drag Power vs. Speed
Drag force scales with v². Power required scales with v³.
100 mph
6090120150
Aero Drag Power
27.3 kW
Rolling Resistance
9.0 kW
Total Power
36.3 kW
Fuel Rate
5.2 gal/hr
P = ½ρ · CdA · v³
P
POWER REQUIRED
ρ
AIR DENSITY
CdA
DRAG × AREA
VELOCITY CUBED
Why v³ matters: Double your speed and power demand increases 8×. This cubic relationship explains why going from 100→120 mph costs far more fuel than 80→100 mph, even though both are 20 mph increases.

Increasing speed from 100 to 120 mph is a 20% increase. Power consumption increases 73%.

More power means more fuel. The question isn't how to carry less — it's how to burn more while sustaining higher velocity across the full distance.

The Tradeoff
Push average speed from 112 to 120 mph. You save ~58 minutes of drive time. Fuel burn jumps ~25%, but that's what the extra range is for — sustaining that higher velocity. The fuel system exists to support the speed, not to minimize stops.

Aerodynamic improvements shift the equation further. Reduce CdA by 10%, you reduce aero power demand by 10%. That's range you reinvest directly into sustained velocity — maintaining a higher cruise speed across the full distance.

What the Record Holders Know

Fuel is Everything

If I could take those two other people out and replace them with fuel, I could do it.
Fred Ashmore, claimed 25:55 solo run (May 2020, disputed)

Ashmore's comment reflects a calculation most record holders make, though his claimed 25:55 solo time in a rented 2020 Ford Mustang GT remains contested within the Cannonball community due to incomplete verification evidence. Passengers rotate driving duties, run countermeasures, and navigate—functions that contribute to the run. But their combined weight (roughly 350-400 lbs) costs fuel economy. The math on whether to bring crew or cargo capacity depends on route planning and driver endurance.

When Toman set 27:25 in November 2019, the team's primary engineering focus was the fuel transfer system:

Toman's Primary Focus
"The fuel transfer system to minimize time" - Arne Toman spent more preparation time engineering rapid fuel transfer from auxiliary tanks than on any other single aspect of the build. The 2016 Audi S6 carried 67 gallons of auxiliary fuel beyond its 19.8-gallon stock tank, enabling 1,000+ mile range and eliminating entire fuel stops.
Total Fuel Capacity
86.8 gal
Stock 19.8 + Auxiliary 67 gallons
Effective Range
1,000+ mi
Enough for entire overnight segment
Target Fill Time
3-4 min
Custom filler necks, gravity feed

The optimization target is sustained velocity, not top speed and not fewer stops. A 10% reduction in aerodynamic drag translates to roughly 10% more range at a given speed — range that gets reinvested into maintaining higher sustained velocity across the entire route. The record holders since 2006 have all prioritized fuel capacity and efficiency because it enables them to run harder, longer.

The Limiting Factors

The Real Constraints

The record-holding S6 produces approximately 600 horsepower and has a verified top speed of 175+ mph. The run averaged 112 mph. That 63 mph gap between capability and execution reveals where the real constraints lie—they're external to the vehicle.

Top Speed (During Run)
175 mph
GPS-verified on I-40 through TX/NM
Average Speed
112 mph
63 mph gap from max capability
Est. Time Over 100 mph
60-70%
Based on GPS telemetry analysis

Two factors consistently limit average speed across all documented runs:

Traffic
Even at 2 AM, commercial trucks and construction zones require passing maneuvers. At 130+ mph, safe passing distances increase substantially. The density of other vehicles determines the practical speed ceiling more than vehicle capability does.
Law Enforcement
A traffic stop typically ends a record attempt entirely. Documented runs that encountered law enforcement did not continue afterward. In known enforcement zones, the decision between 120 and 95 mph is primarily a risk calculation about detection probability.
Speed by Route Segment (Estimated)
Based on GPS telemetry analysis of record runs
High-speed corridor (125+ mph avg)
Moderate speed (105-120 mph avg)
Urban/congested (<100 mph avg)

The data shows a consistent pattern: NYC exit and LA approach have the lowest average speeds despite being the shortest segments. Urban density limits speed more than any other factor. The Midwest segments, by contrast, account for the majority of above-average speed time.

Optimization Potential
Estimated time savings by category (minutes)
Fuel Strategy
Timing Windows
Vehicle Mods
Fuel Stop Elimination
6-12 min
Per stop eliminated via range extension
Midwest Timing
30-45 min
Hit TX/NM corridor at 3-6 AM vs daylight
Urban Avoidance
10-20 min
Optimal departure/arrival timing
The Technology Stack

Equipment Deep Dive

Modern record cars carry extensive detection and communication equipment. The technology stack has expanded significantly since Roy's 2006 run. The following equipment appears across multiple documented attempts:

Radar & Laser Countermeasures
CRITICAL TIER
View Radar Equipment
Fuel Systems
RANGE EXTENSION
View Fuel Systems
Thermal & Night Vision
ADVANCED TIER
View Thermal Equipment
Navigation & Communication
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS
View Navigation Gear
Theoretical Optimization

Could Team Drafting Work?

Aerodynamic Convoy Theory

A recurring question in Cannonball discussion: could multiple vehicles drafting together improve efficiency enough to matter?

The aerodynamic data from NASCAR shows drafting can reduce drag by 25-40% for trailing vehicles. Even a 15-20% reduction would meaningfully extend range. At record-attempt fuel consumption rates, that margin could eliminate one fuel stop.

Theoretical Drafting Benefits
Estimated drag reduction at various following distances

The theoretical convoy configuration:

Lead Vehicle
Blocker
Bears full aero load, scouts traffic
Following Distance
2-3 car
Optimal draft zone at highway speed
Est. Fuel Savings
15-25%
For trailing vehicles in formation
Practical Obstacles
Coordination: Maintaining tight formation at 120+ mph for 25 hours requires continuous precision. Any gap loss eliminates the aerodynamic benefit.

Visibility: Multiple vehicles traveling together at high speed are more noticeable to law enforcement than a single vehicle.

Legitimacy: The Cannonball community traditionally recognizes single-car, single-team runs. A convoy attempt might not be accepted as a record.

Risk: An incident affects all vehicles in formation, multiplying potential consequences.

No documented record attempt has used convoy drafting. As records approach the physical limits of single-vehicle efficiency, formation driving remains an untested variable. Whether it would be accepted by the community is a separate question from whether it would work.

!
The COVID Controversy
The 25:39 record was set in May 2020 during COVID-19 lockdowns. Traffic volume was reduced 40-60% nationwide according to DOT data. Interstate highways that typically carry tens of thousands of vehicles per day had significantly lower density.
These conditions were unprecedented and may not recur. The Toman team encountered traffic levels substantially different from what 2006 or 2013 record attempts faced. This raises the question of comparability.
"COVID records have no value."
- Official Cannonball Run Social Media Account
This statement sparked ongoing debate. One position holds that the clock measures performance regardless of conditions, and exploiting favorable circumstances has always been part of the challenge. The opposing view is that pandemic-era traffic represents such an extreme outlier that these runs belong in a separate category.
COVID Record (2020)
25:39
Toman/Tabbutt/Daryoush
Pre-COVID Record (2019)
27:25
Toman/Tabbutt/Chadwick
Difference
1:46
Nearly 7% improvement
Notable: The same primary driver, Arne Toman, holds both records. His pre-COVID 27:25 time is considered by many to be the "legitimate" benchmark. Whether anyone will challenge it under normal conditions remains to be seen.
Multiple other COVID-era attempts posted times that would have been records in previous years. Fred Ashmore claimed a 25:55 solo run in a rented Ford Mustang GT, though the Cannonball community remains divided on whether to credit it—Ashmore has not produced the comprehensive verification evidence that characterized other record claims from this period. How these times should be categorized relative to pre-pandemic records remains unresolved.
The Bottom Line

What Actually Wins

The available data from GPS telemetry, fuel logs, and team documentation leads to a consistent conclusion:

The Pattern
Across all documented record runs since 2006, vehicles optimized for increased sustained velocity have outperformed vehicles optimized for raw top speed. Extra fuel capacity doesn't reduce stops — it enables running at higher sustained speed across the full 2,803 miles.

Future record attempts will likely optimize for the same variable that has determined outcomes since 2006: sustained velocity. Fuel capacity enables higher sustained speed, countermeasure equipment maintains that speed through enforcement zones, and route timing places the vehicle in the Midwest corridor during the low-traffic overnight window when sustained high velocity is achievable. The entire build serves one purpose — going faster, longer.

Deep Dives

Analysis Articles

Monte Carlo Simulation
Vehicle Comparison & Traffic Analysis
10,000-iteration Monte Carlo using TomTom traffic data from Stowell's 2024 route. Speed profiles, departure optimization, record-breaking probability.
The 535d Thesis
Why Diesel Wins the Cannonball
Diesel efficiency, aerodynamic advantage, and range analysis. The case for the BMW 535d as the optimal platform.
Explorer Interceptor
The Stealth Hypothesis
Could a Police Interceptor Utility's cop-car appearance offset its aero and speed disadvantages?
Q7 V12 TDI vs PIU
Diesel SUV Showdown
The rarest diesel V12 ever made versus the most common cop car in America. Head-to-head analysis.
Fuel Math
The Numbers Behind Range
Fuel burn rates, range calculations, and stop optimization across vehicle platforms.
Aero Analysis
Drag, Power & the v³ Problem
Aerodynamic drag comparison across vehicle platforms and its outsized impact at triple-digit speeds.